Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under mostly clear skies, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that brought Seoul peaks near 39°C and national records above 42°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–34°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread from variables including boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing from Incheon, and residual humidity. Clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 32°C; these thresholds align with typical model uncertainty two days before verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 13 августа?
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
20%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
16%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
20%
35°C
11%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 13 under mostly clear skies, following a prolonged early-August heatwave that brought Seoul peaks near 39°C and national records above 42°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 32–34°C because short-range numerical weather prediction ensembles show modest spread from variables including boundary-layer mixing, coastal sea-breeze timing from Incheon, and residual humidity. Clearer conditions and light winds favor the upper end of that range, while any increase in cloud cover or stronger onshore flow could cap readings at 32°C; these thresholds align with typical model uncertainty two days before verification.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы