Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 13 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Москве 13 августа?
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
22%
16°C
28%
17°C
26%
18°C
14%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C или выше
2%
16°C 28%
17°C 26%
15°C 22%
18°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 авг. 2026 г.
12°C или ниже
$5 Объем
2%
13°C
$28 Объем
4%
14°C
$20 Объем
10%
15°C
$25 Объем
22%
16°C
$93 Объем
28%
17°C
$64 Объем
26%
18°C
$236 Объем
14%
19°C
$16 Объем
5%
20°C
$17 Объем
6%
21°C
$12 Объем
6%
22°C или выше
$12 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$528Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$528Дата окончания
13 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from meteorological agencies indicates a cooling trend for Moscow on August 13 driven by northwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and light showers that limit daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts cluster daily maxima near 16–18°C, with minor spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and precipitation timing. This aligns with the market’s tightly bunched 15–17°C outcomes, each near 25 percent implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of typical late-summer variability around the seasonal 22°C climatological mean. Updated runs from global models will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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