Recent forecast updates from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and moderating winds arriving over Shanghai by August 11, shifting trader focus toward 29–30°C as the most probable daily maxima. These conditions, following an early-August heat wave with peaks above 35°C, reduce surface heating and limit afternoon temperature rises despite typical seasonal humidity levels near 75%. Model consensus emphasizes precipitation timing and steering flows as key variables that could tip outcomes toward 28°C or 31°C depending on exact rainfall intensity and timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 августа?
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
18%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
3%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$5 Объем
1%
24°C
$5 Объем
1%
25°C
$5 Объем
1%
26°C
$5 Объем
1%
27°C
$109 Объем
7%
28°C
$89 Объем
18%
29°C
$106 Объем
31%
30°C
$9 Объем
31%
31°C
$11 Объем
15%
32°C
$22 Объем
4%
33°C or higher
$99 Объем
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and moderating winds arriving over Shanghai by August 11, shifting trader focus toward 29–30°C as the most probable daily maxima. These conditions, following an early-August heat wave with peaks above 35°C, reduce surface heating and limit afternoon temperature rises despite typical seasonal humidity levels near 75%. Model consensus emphasizes precipitation timing and steering flows as key variables that could tip outcomes toward 28°C or 31°C depending on exact rainfall intensity and timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$446Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and moderating winds arriving over Shanghai by August 11, shifting trader focus toward 29–30°C as the most probable daily maxima. These conditions, following an early-August heat wave with peaks above 35°C, reduce surface heating and limit afternoon temperature rises despite typical seasonal humidity levels near 75%. Model consensus emphasizes precipitation timing and steering flows as key variables that could tip outcomes toward 28°C or 31°C depending on exact rainfall intensity and timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$446Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies tracking East Asian monsoon patterns show increased cloud cover, thundershowers, and moderating winds arriving over Shanghai by August 11, shifting trader focus toward 29–30°C as the most probable daily maxima. These conditions, following an early-August heat wave with peaks above 35°C, reduce surface heating and limit afternoon temperature rises despite typical seasonal humidity levels near 75%. Model consensus emphasizes precipitation timing and steering flows as key variables that could tip outcomes toward 28°C or 31°C depending on exact rainfall intensity and timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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