Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London maximum of 27–28°C on August 8 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. These outcomes lead market-implied odds because recent model runs show modest warming from a stable high-pressure ridge, tempered by possible afternoon cloud development or slightly stronger winds that could limit peak readings. Differentiation among 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C rests on small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front approaching from the west. Official guidance notes above-average temperatures for southern England but highlights typical short-range uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C, keeping probabilities spread across the three central bins rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 8 августа?
27°C 42%
28°C 35%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
17%
27°C
42%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 35%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$184 Объем
<1%
24°C
$180 Объем
<1%
25°C
$514 Объем
2%
26°C
$817 Объем
17%
27°C
$2,640 Объем
42%
28°C
$1,381 Объем
35%
29°C
$686 Объем
12%
30°C
$523 Объем
2%
31°C
$253 Объем
<1%
32°C
$359 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$501 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London maximum of 27–28°C on August 8 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. These outcomes lead market-implied odds because recent model runs show modest warming from a stable high-pressure ridge, tempered by possible afternoon cloud development or slightly stronger winds that could limit peak readings. Differentiation among 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C rests on small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front approaching from the west. Official guidance notes above-average temperatures for southern England but highlights typical short-range uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C, keeping probabilities spread across the three central bins rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$8,038Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London maximum of 27–28°C on August 8 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. These outcomes lead market-implied odds because recent model runs show modest warming from a stable high-pressure ridge, tempered by possible afternoon cloud development or slightly stronger winds that could limit peak readings. Differentiation among 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C rests on small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front approaching from the west. Official guidance notes above-average temperatures for southern England but highlights typical short-range uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C, keeping probabilities spread across the three central bins rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$8,038Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London maximum of 27–28°C on August 8 under predominantly sunny skies and light southerly flow. These outcomes lead market-implied odds because recent model runs show modest warming from a stable high-pressure ridge, tempered by possible afternoon cloud development or slightly stronger winds that could limit peak readings. Differentiation among 27°C, 28°C, and 29°C rests on small shifts in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island intensity, and the exact timing of any Atlantic front approaching from the west. Official guidance notes above-average temperatures for southern England but highlights typical short-range uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C, keeping probabilities spread across the three central bins rather than concentrated on a single threshold.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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