Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily high near 28°C in São Paulo on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 41% for that exact outcome. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with above-average temperature anomalies of 1–2°C across much of Brazil, support this range, as steering patterns and limited cloud cover allow modest daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, yet recent model consensus and observed trends favor the upper end of the typical 23–28°C envelope without extreme heat. Key resolution thresholds at 27–30°C remain sensitive to final observational data from official stations, with any late-day shifts in atmospheric conditions able to adjust the recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 8 августа?
28°C 44%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
$13,698 Объем
$13,698 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
44%
29°C
25%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 44%
29°C 25%
27°C 18%
30°C 9%
$13,698 Объем
$13,698 Объем
8 авг. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$493 Объем
<1%
23°C
$653 Объем
1%
24°C
$459 Объем
<1%
25°C
$977 Объем
<1%
26°C
$659 Объем
5%
27°C
$2,963 Объем
18%
28°C
$1,236 Объем
44%
29°C
$2,889 Объем
25%
30°C
$1,938 Объем
9%
31°C
$1,085 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$346 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily high near 28°C in São Paulo on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 41% for that exact outcome. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with above-average temperature anomalies of 1–2°C across much of Brazil, support this range, as steering patterns and limited cloud cover allow modest daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, yet recent model consensus and observed trends favor the upper end of the typical 23–28°C envelope without extreme heat. Key resolution thresholds at 27–30°C remain sensitive to final observational data from official stations, with any late-day shifts in atmospheric conditions able to adjust the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$13,698Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily high near 28°C in São Paulo on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 41% for that exact outcome. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with above-average temperature anomalies of 1–2°C across much of Brazil, support this range, as steering patterns and limited cloud cover allow modest daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, yet recent model consensus and observed trends favor the upper end of the typical 23–28°C envelope without extreme heat. Key resolution thresholds at 27–30°C remain sensitive to final observational data from official stations, with any late-day shifts in atmospheric conditions able to adjust the recorded maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,698Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a daily high near 28°C in São Paulo on August 8, 2026, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability at 41% for that exact outcome. Winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere, combined with above-average temperature anomalies of 1–2°C across much of Brazil, support this range, as steering patterns and limited cloud cover allow modest daytime warming. Historical August averages hover around 24–25°C, yet recent model consensus and observed trends favor the upper end of the typical 23–28°C envelope without extreme heat. Key resolution thresholds at 27–30°C remain sensitive to final observational data from official stations, with any late-day shifts in atmospheric conditions able to adjust the recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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