Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 9 августа?
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
$15,462 Объем
$15,462 Объем
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
24%
38°C
55%
39°C
17%
40°C
5%
41°C или выше
<1%
38°C 55%
37°C 24%
39°C 17%
40°C 5%
$15,462 Объем
$15,462 Объем
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
24%
38°C
55%
39°C
17%
40°C
5%
41°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from regional meteorological services and global models indicate a daily maximum near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9 amid strengthened subtropical high pressure and subsidence on the periphery of Typhoon Dolphin, suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing urban heat island effects. This setup aligns with climatological August peaks of 33–35°C that occasionally reach 37–38°C under similar synoptic patterns, producing the current market-implied probabilities clustered tightly around 37–38°C outcomes. Limited model spread and recent upward revisions in guidance support the leading 38°C share, though any shift in the typhoon track could introduce more moisture and temper highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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