**Short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models currently drive the market toward a 30–31°C daily maximum in Paris on August 8, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 48%.** Sunny intervals, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor modest warming after earlier August variability and recent European heat episodes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but sit above the long-term August average high near 24–25°C. Traders monitor subsequent model runs and official vigilance updates for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the temperature band before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 8 августа?
30°C 48%
31°C 31%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
13%
30°C
48%
31°C
31%
32°C
8%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
31°C 31%
29°C 13%
32°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$44 Объем
<1%
26°C
$34 Объем
<1%
27°C
$60 Объем
1%
28°C
$89 Объем
4%
29°C
$82 Объем
13%
30°C
$521 Объем
48%
31°C
$142 Объем
31%
32°C
$104 Объем
8%
33°C
$40 Объем
3%
34°C
$52 Объем
2%
35°C or higher
$82 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models currently drive the market toward a 30–31°C daily maximum in Paris on August 8, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 48%.** Sunny intervals, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor modest warming after earlier August variability and recent European heat episodes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but sit above the long-term August average high near 24–25°C. Traders monitor subsequent model runs and official vigilance updates for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the temperature band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$1,250Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models currently drive the market toward a 30–31°C daily maximum in Paris on August 8, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 48%.** Sunny intervals, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor modest warming after earlier August variability and recent European heat episodes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but sit above the long-term August average high near 24–25°C. Traders monitor subsequent model runs and official vigilance updates for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the temperature band before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,250Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models currently drive the market toward a 30–31°C daily maximum in Paris on August 8, with 30°C holding the highest implied probability at 48%.** Sunny intervals, light southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover favor modest warming after earlier August variability and recent European heat episodes. These conditions align with typical late-summer patterns but sit above the long-term August average high near 24–25°C. Traders monitor subsequent model runs and official vigilance updates for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the temperature band before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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