**Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on August 7, 2026, centers on 26–28°C outcomes, with 27°C leading at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus showing a moderating summer day after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and model guidance (including Météo-France and European ensembles) points to sunny spells with highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, as a high-pressure pattern or Atlantic flow limits extreme heat buildup. Key drivers include typical early-August climatology (Paris averages near 24–26°C) plus recent cooling trends evident in updated model runs, which have narrowed the range and boosted probabilities for 26–28°C. Uncertainties in exact peak timing, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and minor model spread keep 25°C and 29°C as secondary options, while extremes above 30°C or below 25°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and surface observations. New forecast updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 7 августа?
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
49%
28°C
27%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$23 Объем
<1%
24°C
$55 Объем
1%
25°C
$95 Объем
4%
26°C
$34 Объем
19%
27°C
$343 Объем
49%
28°C
$103 Объем
27%
29°C
$75 Объем
5%
30°C
$26 Объем
2%
31°C
$40 Объем
<1%
32°C
$42 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$80 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on August 7, 2026, centers on 26–28°C outcomes, with 27°C leading at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus showing a moderating summer day after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and model guidance (including Météo-France and European ensembles) points to sunny spells with highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, as a high-pressure pattern or Atlantic flow limits extreme heat buildup.
Key drivers include typical early-August climatology (Paris averages near 24–26°C) plus recent cooling trends evident in updated model runs, which have narrowed the range and boosted probabilities for 26–28°C. Uncertainties in exact peak timing, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and minor model spread keep 25°C and 29°C as secondary options, while extremes above 30°C or below 25°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and surface observations. New forecast updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$916Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on August 7, 2026, centers on 26–28°C outcomes, with 27°C leading at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus showing a moderating summer day after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and model guidance (including Météo-France and European ensembles) points to sunny spells with highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, as a high-pressure pattern or Atlantic flow limits extreme heat buildup.
Key drivers include typical early-August climatology (Paris averages near 24–26°C) plus recent cooling trends evident in updated model runs, which have narrowed the range and boosted probabilities for 26–28°C. Uncertainties in exact peak timing, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and minor model spread keep 25°C and 29°C as secondary options, while extremes above 30°C or below 25°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and surface observations. New forecast updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$916Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Paris's highest temperature on August 7, 2026, centers on 26–28°C outcomes, with 27°C leading at 48.5% implied probability.** This reflects short-range forecast consensus showing a moderating summer day after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official and model guidance (including Météo-France and European ensembles) points to sunny spells with highs in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, as a high-pressure pattern or Atlantic flow limits extreme heat buildup. Key drivers include typical early-August climatology (Paris averages near 24–26°C) plus recent cooling trends evident in updated model runs, which have narrowed the range and boosted probabilities for 26–28°C. Uncertainties in exact peak timing, urban heat island effects at measurement stations, and minor model spread keep 25°C and 29°C as secondary options, while extremes above 30°C or below 25°C remain low-probability given current steering patterns and surface observations. New forecast updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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