Recent Météo-France forecasts position a 26°C afternoon maximum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 6, 2026, under largely sunny skies following a midweek cooldown. Earlier heat peaked near 37°C on August 3 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, but shifting atmospheric patterns have introduced fresher air, lowering highs to 29–32°C by August 5 and supporting the market’s emphasis on 25–26°C brackets (combined ~80% implied probability). Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 24–28°C, with model consensus favoring modest instability that may allow isolated showers yet limit further warming. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine resolution criteria around the official recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 6 августа?
25°C 49%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
49%
26°C
32%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 32%
24°C 12%
27°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$346 Объем
<1%
22°C
$899 Объем
2%
23°C
$369 Объем
4%
24°C
$589 Объем
12%
25°C
$942 Объем
49%
26°C
$706 Объем
32%
27°C
$325 Объем
5%
28°C
$423 Объем
2%
29°C
$416 Объем
1%
30°C
$144 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$633 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts position a 26°C afternoon maximum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 6, 2026, under largely sunny skies following a midweek cooldown. Earlier heat peaked near 37°C on August 3 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, but shifting atmospheric patterns have introduced fresher air, lowering highs to 29–32°C by August 5 and supporting the market’s emphasis on 25–26°C brackets (combined ~80% implied probability). Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 24–28°C, with model consensus favoring modest instability that may allow isolated showers yet limit further warming. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine resolution criteria around the official recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$5,792Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts position a 26°C afternoon maximum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 6, 2026, under largely sunny skies following a midweek cooldown. Earlier heat peaked near 37°C on August 3 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, but shifting atmospheric patterns have introduced fresher air, lowering highs to 29–32°C by August 5 and supporting the market’s emphasis on 25–26°C brackets (combined ~80% implied probability). Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 24–28°C, with model consensus favoring modest instability that may allow isolated showers yet limit further warming. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine resolution criteria around the official recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,792Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts position a 26°C afternoon maximum as the most likely outcome for Paris on August 6, 2026, under largely sunny skies following a midweek cooldown. Earlier heat peaked near 37°C on August 3 amid a high-pressure ridge and southerly flow, but shifting atmospheric patterns have introduced fresher air, lowering highs to 29–32°C by August 5 and supporting the market’s emphasis on 25–26°C brackets (combined ~80% implied probability). Typical August climatology shows highs averaging 24–28°C, with model consensus favoring modest instability that may allow isolated showers yet limit further warming. Updated guidance ahead of the daily peak will refine resolution criteria around the official recorded maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы