Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?
76-77°F 58%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68–69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
58%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
1%
84°F или выше
1%
76-77°F 58%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
65°F или ниже
$129 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$74 Объем
1%
68–69°F
$35 Объем
1%
70-71°F
$18 Объем
3%
72-73°F
$6 Объем
4%
74-75°F
$61 Объем
18%
76-77°F
$865 Объем
58%
78-79°F
$432 Объем
20%
80-81°F
$15 Объем
4%
82-83°F
$406 Объем
1%
84°F или выше
$110 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$2,151Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,151Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicate a warm, humid air mass will limit overnight radiative cooling across the New York metro area on August 6, supporting minimum temperatures most likely in the 76–77°F range. Above-average August temperature outlooks from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, combined with recent highs in the low 80s and elevated dew points, have reinforced trader consensus around this outcome while capping probabilities for cooler bins. Key resolution hinges on official Central Park observations; any unexpected clear skies or drier air could allow modest cooling toward 74°F, though current steering patterns and soil moisture favor the warmer scenario.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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