Trader consensus strongly favors a 70–71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for an overnight low near 70°F amid above-average warmth and humidity across the Northeast. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average of roughly 68°F. Recent monthly outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, calling for a 40–50% chance of above-normal August temperatures, reinforce this positioning, while short-term guidance shows no significant frontal passage or drier air mass to drive readings into the upper 60s. The 68–69°F outcome remains a secondary possibility if localized clearing enhances cooling before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 5 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 5 августа?
70-71°F 61%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
61%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
1%
76°F или выше
<1%
70-71°F 61%
68-69°F 30%
72-73°F 12%
66-67°F 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 авг. 2026 г.
57°F или ниже
$207 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$362 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$361 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$918 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,150 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$329 Объем
2%
68-69°F
$626 Объем
30%
70-71°F
$1,681 Объем
61%
72-73°F
$293 Объем
12%
74-75°F
$2,172 Объем
1%
76°F или выше
$1,642 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 70–71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for an overnight low near 70°F amid above-average warmth and humidity across the Northeast. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average of roughly 68°F. Recent monthly outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, calling for a 40–50% chance of above-normal August temperatures, reinforce this positioning, while short-term guidance shows no significant frontal passage or drier air mass to drive readings into the upper 60s. The 68–69°F outcome remains a secondary possibility if localized clearing enhances cooling before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Объем
$9,742Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 70–71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for an overnight low near 70°F amid above-average warmth and humidity across the Northeast. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average of roughly 68°F. Recent monthly outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, calling for a 40–50% chance of above-normal August temperatures, reinforce this positioning, while short-term guidance shows no significant frontal passage or drier air mass to drive readings into the upper 60s. The 68–69°F outcome remains a secondary possibility if localized clearing enhances cooling before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$9,742Дата окончания
5 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a 70–71°F minimum in New York City on August 5, reflecting National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for an overnight low near 70°F amid above-average warmth and humidity across the Northeast. Persistent southerly flow and elevated dew points have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average of roughly 68°F. Recent monthly outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center, calling for a 40–50% chance of above-normal August temperatures, reinforce this positioning, while short-term guidance shows no significant frontal passage or drier air mass to drive readings into the upper 60s. The 68–69°F outcome remains a secondary possibility if localized clearing enhances cooling before dawn.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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