Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 6 августа?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92–93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
34%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 34%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$80 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$173 Объем
<1%
92–93°F
$521 Объем
<1%
94-95°F
$117 Объем
2%
96-97°F
$498 Объем
11%
98-99°F
$1,135 Объем
52%
100-101°F
$207 Объем
34%
102-103°F
$177 Объем
7%
104-105°F
$239 Объем
1%
106-107°F
$641 Объем
<1%
108°F или выше
$135 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$3,923Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,923Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus indicate Austin highs on August 6 will most likely reach the upper 90s to low 100s under persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover, aligning with the market's emphasis on 98–99°F (51.5%) and 100–101°F (33.5%). Historical climatology shows early August peaks near 97°F on average, yet 2026 observations through early August reflect above-normal warmth with several days already hitting 99–101°F. Short-term guidance from the latest model runs favors modest cooling from southeasterly flow and possible sea-breeze influences that could cap temperatures near 99°F, while drier conditions support the slim probability of 102°F+. Updated forecasts issued within the next 12–24 hours will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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