Skip to main content
icon for Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?

авг. 5

авг. 6

авг. 5

авг. 6

88-89°F 39%

90-91°F 31%

86-87°F 19%

92-93°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

88-89°F 39%

90-91°F 31%

86-87°F 19%

92-93°F 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

79°F or below

$211 Объем

1%

80-81°F

$532 Объем

<1%

82-83°F

$123 Объем

2%

84-85°F

$121 Объем

4%

86-87°F

$117 Объем

19%

88-89°F

$297 Объем

39%

90-91°F

$569 Объем

31%

92-93°F

$267 Объем

6%

94-95°F

$429 Объем

2%

96-97°F

$304 Объем

<1%

98°F or higher

$270 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,239
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest NWS and numerical weather prediction models indicate a high temperature in the upper 80s to low 90s for Central Park on August 6, 2026**, driven by above-average warmth expected across the Northeast amid typical summer atmospheric patterns. The Climate Prediction Center’s seasonal outlook favors warmer-than-normal conditions for August, with recent early-month observations showing highs near 83–86°F and humidity supporting further warming absent significant cloud cover or convective activity. Model consensus points to 88–91°F as the most probable range, tempered by potential scattered storms that could limit peak insolation and surface heating. These factors position the 88–89°F and 90–91°F bins as market leaders, reflecting traders’ aggregation of forecast guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~83°F). Updated model runs and any shifts in steering patterns or moisture will be key near-term drivers.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,239
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «88-89°F» с 39%, за ним следует «90-91°F» с 31%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?» — «88-89°F» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «90-91°F» с 31%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 6 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.