Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 8 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by post-heatwave cooling and increased cloud cover overnight. Ensemble guidance shows surface winds shifting northerly, limiting radiative cooling while dew points remain moderate, keeping the overnight low above typical August values near 15 °C but below recent daytime peaks exceeding 30 °C. Traders assign highest implied probability to 14 °C (47 %) as model consensus centers there, with 13 °C (32.5 %) reflecting potential for slightly clearer skies and stronger cooling. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Париже 8 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Париже 8 августа?
14°C 49%
13°C 27%
15°C 21%
16°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
<1%
12°C
6%
13°C
27%
14°C
49%
15°C
21%
16°C
11%
17°C
6%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C или выше
<1%
14°C 49%
13°C 27%
15°C 21%
16°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
11°C или ниже
$54 Объем
<1%
12°C
$81 Объем
6%
13°C
$318 Объем
27%
14°C
$863 Объем
49%
15°C
$398 Объем
21%
16°C
$217 Объем
11%
17°C
$107 Объем
6%
18°C
$298 Объем
1%
19°C
$321 Объем
<1%
20°C
$67 Объем
<1%
21°C или выше
$77 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 8 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by post-heatwave cooling and increased cloud cover overnight. Ensemble guidance shows surface winds shifting northerly, limiting radiative cooling while dew points remain moderate, keeping the overnight low above typical August values near 15 °C but below recent daytime peaks exceeding 30 °C. Traders assign highest implied probability to 14 °C (47 %) as model consensus centers there, with 13 °C (32.5 %) reflecting potential for slightly clearer skies and stronger cooling. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,801Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 8 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by post-heatwave cooling and increased cloud cover overnight. Ensemble guidance shows surface winds shifting northerly, limiting radiative cooling while dew points remain moderate, keeping the overnight low above typical August values near 15 °C but below recent daytime peaks exceeding 30 °C. Traders assign highest implied probability to 14 °C (47 %) as model consensus centers there, with 13 °C (32.5 %) reflecting potential for slightly clearer skies and stronger cooling. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,801Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 8 clustering between 13–15 °C, driven by post-heatwave cooling and increased cloud cover overnight. Ensemble guidance shows surface winds shifting northerly, limiting radiative cooling while dew points remain moderate, keeping the overnight low above typical August values near 15 °C but below recent daytime peaks exceeding 30 °C. Traders assign highest implied probability to 14 °C (47 %) as model consensus centers there, with 13 °C (32.5 %) reflecting potential for slightly clearer skies and stronger cooling. Updated runs ahead of the overnight period will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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