Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Milan on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions, subsidence warming across the Po Valley, and light easterly winds. These factors, combined with Milan’s urban heat island effect, support the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes at 40.5% and 37% implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud development, or localized showers could shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while official station readings will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 7 августа?
34°C 41%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
41%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
41%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from European meteorological agencies point to a peak temperature of 33–34°C in Milan on August 7 under persistent high-pressure conditions, subsidence warming across the Po Valley, and light easterly winds. These factors, combined with Milan’s urban heat island effect, support the market’s near-even split between the two leading outcomes at 40.5% and 37% implied probability. Minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud development, or localized showers could shift the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, while official station readings will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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