Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 31–34°C for Taipei on August 8 amid a typical midsummer warm, moist air mass. Persistent high pressure and strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies support peak temperatures reaching or exceeding 32°C, while scattered showers may develop in the afternoon but are unlikely to suppress the maximum substantially. Urban heat-island effects in the basin further elevate readings relative to surrounding terrain. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or instability that would alter this pattern before the observation window closes, keeping market-implied odds for 32°C or higher near 60 percent as traders weigh the climatological baseline of early-August extremes against the limited downside risk from convective cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 8 августа?
32°C or higher 60%
31°C 18%
30°C 15%
29°C 7%
$44,266 Объем
$44,266 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
15%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
60%
32°C or higher 60%
31°C 18%
30°C 15%
29°C 7%
$44,266 Объем
$44,266 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
15%
31°C
18%
32°C or higher
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 31–34°C for Taipei on August 8 amid a typical midsummer warm, moist air mass. Persistent high pressure and strong solar heating under partly cloudy skies support peak temperatures reaching or exceeding 32°C, while scattered showers may develop in the afternoon but are unlikely to suppress the maximum substantially. Urban heat-island effects in the basin further elevate readings relative to surrounding terrain. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering flow or instability that would alter this pattern before the observation window closes, keeping market-implied odds for 32°C or higher near 60 percent as traders weigh the climatological baseline of early-August extremes against the limited downside risk from convective cooling.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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