Numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing's August 7 maximum will likely fall in the 34–37°C range, reflecting the final days of peak summer heating under a subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies and strong daytime insolation before the Liqiu solar term begins cooling trends around August 7–8. Recent ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and possible afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap surface temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Historical August data place typical highs near 30–32°C, yet early-month heatwaves frequently push readings above 35°C when humidity remains elevated. Traders' tight clustering around 35–36°C captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global centers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пекине 7 августа?
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
31°C или ниже
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
22%
38°C
11%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C или выше
2%
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
31°C или ниже
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
22%
38°C
11%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing's August 7 maximum will likely fall in the 34–37°C range, reflecting the final days of peak summer heating under a subtropical high-pressure system that promotes clear skies and strong daytime insolation before the Liqiu solar term begins cooling trends around August 7–8. Recent ensemble forecasts show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover and possible afternoon thunderstorms, which can cap surface temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling. Historical August data place typical highs near 30–32°C, yet early-month heatwaves frequently push readings above 35°C when humidity remains elevated. Traders' tight clustering around 35–36°C captures this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model cycles from the China Meteorological Administration and global centers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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