**Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 7 highest temperature reflects tight uncertainty around mid-30s Celsius highs typical of the city's subtropical summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high near 34°C (93°F) under mostly cloudy skies with passing showers, while climatological August averages for Taipei center on 32–34°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of showers, which can cap peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the basin topography amplify readings, but increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon or distant tropical systems adds variability. With no major typhoon landfall signals in near-term guidance, the balanced market odds between 34°C and 35°C capture genuine forecast spread in model consensus on cloud/rain timing rather than a strong directional bias. Updated short-range model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 7 августа?
35°C 33%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C или выше
5%
35°C 33%
34°C 31%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
31%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Taipei's August 7 highest temperature reflects tight uncertainty around mid-30s Celsius highs typical of the city's subtropical summer.** Official extended forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a high near 34°C (93°F) under mostly cloudy skies with passing showers, while climatological August averages for Taipei center on 32–34°C daytime maxima amid high humidity and frequent convective activity. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of showers, which can cap peak temperatures through reduced solar insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating. Urban heat-island effects in the basin topography amplify readings, but increased moisture from the East Asian monsoon or distant tropical systems adds variability. With no major typhoon landfall signals in near-term guidance, the balanced market odds between 34°C and 35°C capture genuine forecast spread in model consensus on cloud/rain timing rather than a strong directional bias. Updated short-range model runs and official CWA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow this range as the date approaches.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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