Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 7 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 7 августа?
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
39%
36°C
27%
37°C
13%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 39%
36°C 27%
34°C 14%
37°C 12.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$557 Объем
<1%
30°C
$714 Объем
<1%
31°C
$130 Объем
<1%
32°C
$81 Объем
1%
33°C
$117 Объем
4%
34°C
$888 Объем
14%
35°C
$106 Объем
39%
36°C
$378 Объем
27%
37°C
$105 Объем
13%
38°C
$12 Объем
2%
39°C or higher
$1,258 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$4,346Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,346Дата окончания
7 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a persistent high-pressure system and clear skies, position 35–36°C as the leading outcomes for Seoul-Incheon’s August 7 maximum, aligning with market-implied probabilities of 38.5% and 26.5%. August climatology shows average highs near 29–31°C, but 2026 forecasts from AccuWeather and the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate 34–37°C potential through early August amid elevated humidity and urban heat effects. Recent model runs emphasize minimal cooling from the Yellow Sea influence at Incheon, with traders weighting short-range guidance heavily as resolution nears. Minor probability mass on 34°C and 37°C reflects typical forecast spread and any late adjustments in steering patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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