Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 7 августа?
38°C 48%
39°C 29%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
48%
39°C
29%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 48%
39°C 29%
37°C 10%
40°C 9%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
10%
38°C
48%
39°C
29%
40°C
9%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and global models converge on daytime highs of 34–37°C for Madrid on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light northeasterly flow, favoring strong solar heating in the city's continental climate. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, supporting the market's emphasis on 38°C and 39°C outcomes while capping upside risk below 40°C absent a late model shift. Historical August baselines near 32–33°C provide context, yet current conditions align with the upper end of typical variability. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine exact maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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