Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate.com currently point to a daytime high of 35–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the combined 82.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes. Madrid’s inland location and summer anticyclonic pattern promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical August climatology shows average highs near 33°C with occasional peaks above 36°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent over the past 48 hours with limited spread across ensembles, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 6 августа?
37°C 47%
36°C 37%
38°C 16%
35°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
5%
36°C
37%
37°C
47%
38°C
16%
39°C
3%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C или выше
<1%
37°C 47%
36°C 37%
38°C 16%
35°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
33°C или ниже
$10 Объем
1%
34°C
$10 Объем
2%
35°C
$5 Объем
5%
36°C
$61 Объем
37%
37°C
$87 Объем
47%
38°C
$13 Объем
16%
39°C
$17 Объем
3%
40°C
$42 Объем
2%
41°C
$80 Объем
1%
42°C
$10 Объем
<1%
43°C или выше
$10 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate.com currently point to a daytime high of 35–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the combined 82.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes. Madrid’s inland location and summer anticyclonic pattern promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical August climatology shows average highs near 33°C with occasional peaks above 36°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent over the past 48 hours with limited spread across ensembles, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$345Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate.com currently point to a daytime high of 35–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the combined 82.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes. Madrid’s inland location and summer anticyclonic pattern promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical August climatology shows average highs near 33°C with occasional peaks above 36°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent over the past 48 hours with limited spread across ensembles, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$345Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate.com currently point to a daytime high of 35–37°C in Madrid on August 6 under sunny skies, light southwesterly winds, and low humidity, aligning with the combined 82.5% market-implied probability for those two outcomes. Madrid’s inland location and summer anticyclonic pattern promote strong daytime solar heating and minimal cloud cover, while typical August climatology shows average highs near 33°C with occasional peaks above 36°C. Recent model runs have remained consistent over the past 48 hours with limited spread across ensembles, though minor shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the peak by 1°C before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы