Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a high near 33°C on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 33°C and 39.5% on 32°C. Ensemble model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services shows limited variability, with daytime maxima expected in the 32–34°C range amid typical August climatology of 30–32°C averages and low precipitation risk. Minor upward revisions in recent runs reflect slightly warmer advection, yet no extreme heat signals or model spread support probabilities above 5% for 34°C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Анкаре 6 августа?
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 4%
$11,166 Объем
$11,166 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
40%
33°C
53%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 40%
34°C 5%
31°C 4%
$11,166 Объем
$11,166 Объем
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
40%
33°C
53%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a high near 33°C on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, aligning with the market-implied 52.5% probability on 33°C and 39.5% on 32°C. Ensemble model consensus from sources like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national services shows limited variability, with daytime maxima expected in the 32–34°C range amid typical August climatology of 30–32°C averages and low precipitation risk. Minor upward revisions in recent runs reflect slightly warmer advection, yet no extreme heat signals or model spread support probabilities above 5% for 34°C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these temperature thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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