Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 6 августа?
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$15,910 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,910 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
28%
23°C
42%
24°C
26%
25°C
6%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 28%
24°C 26%
25°C 6%
НОВОЕ
$15,910 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,910 Объем
6 авг. 2026 г.
19°C or below
$3,013 Объем
<1%
20°C
$1,456 Объем
2%
21°C
$1,877 Объем
3%
22°C
$2,573 Объем
28%
23°C
$2,395 Объем
42%
24°C
$909 Объем
26%
25°C
$1,133 Объем
6%
26°C
$686 Объем
<1%
27°C
$862 Объем
<1%
28°C
$501 Объем
<1%
29°C or higher
$504 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$15,910Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$15,910Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF indicate London highs around 22–24°C for August 6, aligning with the market's concentration on those outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. This positioning reflects typical early-August climatology near the 23°C seasonal average, following a brief warm spell that delivered 29°C on August 4 before a cooling trend set in with highs dropping to 25°C on August 5. Persistent high pressure and moderate Atlantic airflow are limiting further warming or sharp drops, while ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty tied to cloud cover and wind patterns. New model runs and observational updates in the next 24 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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