Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a modest high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 6, driven by northwesterly flow off the cooler North Sea that limits daytime heating after several warmer days earlier in the month. Historical climatology places early-August maxima around 21–22°C, and recent model runs show limited spread with minimal risk of stronger warming or sharp cooling. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European guidance ahead of the final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 6 августа?
21°C 49%
22°C 27%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$22,343 Объем
$22,343 Объем
17 °C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
21°C 49%
22°C 27%
20°C 22%
19°C 3%
$22,343 Объем
$22,343 Объем
17 °C или ниже
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
22%
21°C
49%
22°C
27%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a modest high near 21°C for Amsterdam on August 6, driven by northwesterly flow off the cooler North Sea that limits daytime heating after several warmer days earlier in the month. Historical climatology places early-August maxima around 21–22°C, and recent model runs show limited spread with minimal risk of stronger warming or sharp cooling. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 20–22°C outcomes, with traders incorporating the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range European guidance ahead of the final observational resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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