National Weather Service forecasts for Houston indicate a high near 97–99°F on August 3 under mostly sunny skies with light winds and minimal rain chances, consistent with the market’s emphasis on the 96–97°F and 98–99°F brackets. Persistent high pressure and above-normal Gulf moisture sustain typical midsummer heat without significant cooling influences such as cloud cover or a frontal passage. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, though any increase in afternoon convection could trim the peak by a degree or two. Historical August maxima in the upper 90s further support trader positioning around these narrow temperature bands.