Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service guidance indicates Houston highs moderating into the upper 90s on August 2 after a late-July heat wave that produced the first 100°F reading in nearly a year. Weakening high pressure, increased boundary-layer moisture, and potential for isolated afternoon convection are the main factors capping temperatures below recent peaks, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 96–99°F outcomes. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around steering patterns and cloud cover, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two in either direction. Official verification will come from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Хьюстоне 2 августа?
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
91°F или ниже
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 37%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 21%
94-95°F 10%
91°F или ниже
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
37%
100-101°F
21%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Weather Service guidance indicates Houston highs moderating into the upper 90s on August 2 after a late-July heat wave that produced the first 100°F reading in nearly a year. Weakening high pressure, increased boundary-layer moisture, and potential for isolated afternoon convection are the main factors capping temperatures below recent peaks, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 96–99°F outcomes. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty around steering patterns and cloud cover, which could shift the daily maximum by a degree or two in either direction. Official verification will come from Houston Hobby or Intercontinental Airport observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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