Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate a maximum temperature near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3, driven by stable summer high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and cooling. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 26°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Short-range forecast skill remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with updated model runs overnight; historical August highs average near 26°C, providing additional climatological context for trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Торонто 3 августа?
26°C 41%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
21°C или ниже
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
1%
26°C 41%
25°C 27%
27°C 22%
28°C 8%
21°C или ниже
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
27%
26°C
41%
27°C
22%
28°C
8%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate a maximum temperature near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 3, driven by stable summer high pressure, light winds, and limited cloud cover that limit both daytime heating and cooling. Ensemble consensus shows minimal spread around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting on 26°C while assigning lower probabilities to outliers above 28°C or below 24°C. Short-range forecast skill remains high this close to the event, though minor revisions could occur with updated model runs overnight; historical August highs average near 26°C, providing additional climatological context for trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы