Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Istanbul's August 6 high will likely reach 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions, with dry air and moderate winds. The market's strong preference for 28°C reflects traders' emphasis on Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes that frequently suppress peak readings by 1–3°C compared to inland areas, alongside historical August averages near 28°C and limited afternoon cloud potential. No major heatwave or anomalous warming is currently indicated for the region, keeping higher outcomes like 30°C or above at low implied probability while cooler thresholds remain possible only with unexpected marine cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 6 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 6 августа?
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
27%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 27%
27°C 20%
26°C 3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
6 авг. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$397 Объем
<1%
23°C
$469 Объем
<1%
24°C
$264 Объем
<1%
25°C
$146 Объем
<1%
26°C
$222 Объем
3%
27°C
$414 Объем
20%
28°C
$1,608 Объем
52%
29°C
$744 Объем
27%
30°C
$182 Объем
3%
31°C
$221 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$154 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Istanbul's August 6 high will likely reach 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions, with dry air and moderate winds. The market's strong preference for 28°C reflects traders' emphasis on Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes that frequently suppress peak readings by 1–3°C compared to inland areas, alongside historical August averages near 28°C and limited afternoon cloud potential. No major heatwave or anomalous warming is currently indicated for the region, keeping higher outcomes like 30°C or above at low implied probability while cooler thresholds remain possible only with unexpected marine cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,821Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Istanbul's August 6 high will likely reach 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions, with dry air and moderate winds. The market's strong preference for 28°C reflects traders' emphasis on Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes that frequently suppress peak readings by 1–3°C compared to inland areas, alongside historical August averages near 28°C and limited afternoon cloud potential. No major heatwave or anomalous warming is currently indicated for the region, keeping higher outcomes like 30°C or above at low implied probability while cooler thresholds remain possible only with unexpected marine cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,821Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models indicate Istanbul's August 6 high will likely reach 28–30°C under typical summer high-pressure conditions, with dry air and moderate winds. The market's strong preference for 28°C reflects traders' emphasis on Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes that frequently suppress peak readings by 1–3°C compared to inland areas, alongside historical August averages near 28°C and limited afternoon cloud potential. No major heatwave or anomalous warming is currently indicated for the region, keeping higher outcomes like 30°C or above at low implied probability while cooler thresholds remain possible only with unexpected marine cooling or timing shifts. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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