Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 7 августа?
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C или выше 16%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°С
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C или выше
16%
32°C 26%
33°C 22%
31°C 16%
35°C или выше 16%
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°С
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
16%
32°C
26%
33°C
22%
34°C
12%
35°C или выше
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term model consensus for Chengdu points to afternoon highs of 31–33°C on August 7 amid persistent summer monsoon moisture and high humidity typical of the Sichuan basin. These conditions favor scattered afternoon convection that can cap peak readings through cloud cover and brief showers, keeping most outcomes clustered near the historical August mean of 30–32°C. Traders weigh the balance between basin heat retention and any late-day thunderstorm development that could shave a degree or two, with the narrow spread among 31–33°C reflecting genuine uncertainty in the final model runs expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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