Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies project Shenzhen highs of 33–36°C on August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, urban heat effects, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 35–36°C because current model consensus shows warm advection persisting before any widespread rain develops, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Upcoming NHC or CMA updates on regional steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next key data points that could shift these odds if convective activity strengthens earlier than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 10 августа?
36°C 46%
35°C 30%
37°C 11%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
9%
35°C
30%
36°C
46%
37°C
11%
38°C
3%
39°C или выше
1%
36°C 46%
35°C 30%
37°C 11%
34°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$258 Объем
<1%
30°C
$258 Объем
<1%
31°C
$219 Объем
<1%
32°C
$698 Объем
<1%
33°C
$594 Объем
4%
34°C
$978 Объем
9%
35°C
$665 Объем
30%
36°C
$913 Объем
46%
37°C
$292 Объем
11%
38°C
$252 Объем
3%
39°C или выше
$304 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies project Shenzhen highs of 33–36°C on August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, urban heat effects, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 35–36°C because current model consensus shows warm advection persisting before any widespread rain develops, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Upcoming NHC or CMA updates on regional steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next key data points that could shift these odds if convective activity strengthens earlier than expected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$5,429Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies project Shenzhen highs of 33–36°C on August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, urban heat effects, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 35–36°C because current model consensus shows warm advection persisting before any widespread rain develops, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Upcoming NHC or CMA updates on regional steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next key data points that could shift these odds if convective activity strengthens earlier than expected.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$5,429Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and local agencies project Shenzhen highs of 33–36°C on August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity, urban heat effects, and possible afternoon thunderstorms that could limit peak temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Traders assign the strongest implied probabilities to 35–36°C because current model consensus shows warm advection persisting before any widespread rain develops, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima frequently reach the mid-30s. Upcoming NHC or CMA updates on regional steering patterns and precipitation timing represent the next key data points that could shift these odds if convective activity strengthens earlier than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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