Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 36–37°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30–42% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating over central Spain, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, while climatological August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings. Minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing keeps 35–38°C as the highest-probability cluster, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical variability and the narrow two-day window to resolution. Updated runs from sources such as AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of the daily peak measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 10 августа?
37°C 43%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 7%
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
30%
37°C
43%
38°C
16%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C или выше
<1%
37°C 43%
36°C 30%
38°C 16%
35°C 7%
31°C или ниже
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
7%
36°C
30%
37°C
43%
38°C
16%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from models and agencies position Madrid's August 10 maximum near 36–37°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 30–42% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating over central Spain, with limited cloud cover or moisture to moderate temperatures, while climatological August averages near 33–34°C provide context for the elevated readings. Minor model spread around steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing keeps 35–38°C as the highest-probability cluster, with lower odds on extremes reflecting historical variability and the narrow two-day window to resolution. Updated runs from sources such as AEMET and ECMWF over the next 24 hours could refine these ranges ahead of the daily peak measurement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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