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icon for Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?

авг. 7

авг. 8

авг. 7

авг. 8

30°C 40%

29°C 33%

31°C 18%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,055 Объем

30°C 40%

29°C 33%

31°C 18%

28°C 6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$13,055 Объем

25°C or below

$540 Объем

<1%

26°C

$350 Объем

1%

27°C

$525 Объем

2%

28°C

$553 Объем

6%

29°C

$4,113 Объем

33%

30°C

$1,277 Объем

40%

31°C

$1,673 Объем

18%

32°C

$1,297 Объем

5%

33°C

$312 Объем

1%

34°C

$498 Объем

1%

35°C or higher

$1,979 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,055
Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from European centers show Munich under a ridge of high pressure on August 8, promoting clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime insolation that support daily maxima near 29–30 °C—roughly 5–7 °C above the early-August climatological mean of ~23 °C. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around these values, with modest spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convective development. The market’s near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C bins, alongside smaller probabilities for 31 °C, reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes and the resolution criterion based on official station observations. Updated runs overnight and early on the 8th will further tighten or shift the distribution ahead of measurement.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$13,055
Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30°C» с 40%, за ним следует «29°C» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 40¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $13.1K с момента запуска рынка Aug 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?» — «30°C» с 40%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 40%. Следующий ближайший исход — «29°C» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.