Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City for August 8, consistent with long-term August averages of roughly 24°C driven by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating from afternoon showers and moderate southerly flow, keeping extremes unlikely while centering probabilities near the 24°C threshold. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C versus lower odds for 23°C or 25°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and historical precedent that rarely exceeds 26°C without anomalous high-pressure ridging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мехико 8 августа?
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 22%
22°C 4%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
22%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 22%
22°C 4%
18°C или ниже
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
22%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional project a maximum of 24–26°C in Mexico City for August 8, consistent with long-term August averages of roughly 24°C driven by the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and frequent cloud cover during the rainy season. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating from afternoon showers and moderate southerly flow, keeping extremes unlikely while centering probabilities near the 24°C threshold. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C versus lower odds for 23°C or 25°C, aligns with this narrow forecast range and historical precedent that rarely exceeds 26°C without anomalous high-pressure ridging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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