Trader consensus favors a peak of 34°C (53% implied probability) on August 8 in Hong Kong, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts showing maximum temperatures in the 32–35°C range amid typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and urban heat effects. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends and model consensus for limited intensification on this date. Recent data releases highlight isolated showers that could cap extremes below 36°C, while historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide context for the tight clustering between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Upcoming hourly readings and final HKO verification will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 8 августа?
34°C 55%
35°C 38%
36°C 6%
33°C 4%
$75,411 Объем
$75,411 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
55%
35°C
38%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 55%
35°C 38%
36°C 6%
33°C 4%
$75,411 Объем
$75,411 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
4%
34°C
55%
35°C
38%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a peak of 34°C (53% implied probability) on August 8 in Hong Kong, driven by official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts showing maximum temperatures in the 32–35°C range amid typical summer monsoon conditions, high humidity, and urban heat effects. Seasonal outlooks from the Observatory project normal to above-normal August temperatures overall, consistent with long-term warming trends and model consensus for limited intensification on this date. Recent data releases highlight isolated showers that could cap extremes below 36°C, while historical August maxima near 31–32°C provide context for the tight clustering between 34°C and 35°C outcomes. Upcoming hourly readings and final HKO verification will resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы