Recent forecasts from models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risk on August 9, cooling daytime maxima from recent highs near 35°C. This shift, driven by a passing weather system amid lingering subtropical high influence, limits surface heating and favors peak temperatures of 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (28.5%). High humidity and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from warmer scenarios, though minor variations in storm timing or intensity could adjust exact readings measured at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 9 августа?
29°C 35%
30°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
35%
30°C
30%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 30%
31°C 17%
28°C 13%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$1,712 Объем
2%
25°C
$956 Объем
3%
26°C
$244 Объем
2%
27°C
$512 Объем
3%
28°C
$620 Объем
13%
29°C
$806 Объем
35%
30°C
$354 Объем
30%
31°C
$159 Объем
17%
32°C
$119 Объем
3%
33°C
$153 Объем
1%
34°C or higher
$160 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risk on August 9, cooling daytime maxima from recent highs near 35°C. This shift, driven by a passing weather system amid lingering subtropical high influence, limits surface heating and favors peak temperatures of 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (28.5%). High humidity and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from warmer scenarios, though minor variations in storm timing or intensity could adjust exact readings measured at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$4,318Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risk on August 9, cooling daytime maxima from recent highs near 35°C. This shift, driven by a passing weather system amid lingering subtropical high influence, limits surface heating and favors peak temperatures of 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (28.5%). High humidity and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from warmer scenarios, though minor variations in storm timing or intensity could adjust exact readings measured at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,318Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models and the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai will experience increased cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and flash flood risk on August 9, cooling daytime maxima from recent highs near 35°C. This shift, driven by a passing weather system amid lingering subtropical high influence, limits surface heating and favors peak temperatures of 28–31°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (28.5%). High humidity and reduced insolation differentiate these outcomes from warmer scenarios, though minor variations in storm timing or intensity could adjust exact readings measured at official stations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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