Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles place Shenzhen's peak temperature for August 8 in the 35–36°C range, driven by strong subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Model consensus shows limited spread because steering flow remains weak, minimizing rapid changes from sea breezes or convective cloud cover that could cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology indicates 32–34°C as baseline, yet recent days have trended warmer, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–36°C. Final CMA and ECMWF runs plus official station observations at Bao'an will determine resolution, with any late-day thunderstorm development the main uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 8 августа?
36°C 34%
35°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 16%
$14,213 Объем
$14,213 Объем
30°C или ниже
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
16%
35°C
26%
36°C
34%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C или выше
<1%
36°C 34%
35°C 26%
34°C 16%
37°C 16%
$14,213 Объем
$14,213 Объем
30°C или ниже
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
7%
34°C
16%
35°C
26%
36°C
34%
37°C
16%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C или выше
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles place Shenzhen's peak temperature for August 8 in the 35–36°C range, driven by strong subtropical high pressure, abundant solar insolation, and urban heat island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Model consensus shows limited spread because steering flow remains weak, minimizing rapid changes from sea breezes or convective cloud cover that could cap daytime maxima. Historical August climatology indicates 32–34°C as baseline, yet recent days have trended warmer, supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–36°C. Final CMA and ECMWF runs plus official station observations at Bao'an will determine resolution, with any late-day thunderstorm development the main uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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