Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with KMA-issued severe warnings and daytime highs near 34–37°C, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated humidity, subsidence, and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently project a minimum of 24°C at Incheon International Airport on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences in cloud cover persistence, wind patterns, or humidity could shift overnight lows by 1°C, while any late-model consensus shifts toward clearer skies would favor cooler readings near historical seasonal averages around 22–23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 10 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 10 августа?
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
26°C 13%
23°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
42%
25°C
42%
26°C
13%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 42%
26°C 13%
23°C 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$81 Объем
1%
20°C
$61 Объем
1%
21°C
$71 Объем
1%
22°C
$60 Объем
2%
23°C
$75 Объем
5%
24°C
$584 Объем
42%
25°C
$226 Объем
42%
26°C
$796 Объем
13%
27°C
$80 Объем
3%
28°C
$46 Объем
<1%
29°C или выше
$71 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with KMA-issued severe warnings and daytime highs near 34–37°C, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated humidity, subsidence, and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently project a minimum of 24°C at Incheon International Airport on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences in cloud cover persistence, wind patterns, or humidity could shift overnight lows by 1°C, while any late-model consensus shifts toward clearer skies would favor cooler readings near historical seasonal averages around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,115Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with KMA-issued severe warnings and daytime highs near 34–37°C, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated humidity, subsidence, and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently project a minimum of 24°C at Incheon International Airport on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences in cloud cover persistence, wind patterns, or humidity could shift overnight lows by 1°C, while any late-model consensus shifts toward clearer skies would favor cooler readings near historical seasonal averages around 22–23°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,115Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heatwave conditions across South Korea, with KMA-issued severe warnings and daytime highs near 34–37°C, are suppressing nocturnal radiative cooling through elevated humidity, subsidence, and urban heat island effects in the Seoul-Incheon corridor. Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration currently project a minimum of 24°C at Incheon International Airport on August 10 under mostly cloudy skies, aligning closely with the market's near-even split between 24°C and 25°C implied probabilities. Subtle differences in cloud cover persistence, wind patterns, or humidity could shift overnight lows by 1°C, while any late-model consensus shifts toward clearer skies would favor cooler readings near historical seasonal averages around 22–23°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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