A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment, expected to deliver cooler air, increased cloud cover, and showers to Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend. South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to daytime maxima near 14–16 °C on the 10th, with limited solar heating and possible late sprinkles suppressing readings above 17 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (48.5 %) and 16 °C (27.5 %), while the modest probabilities for 14 °C and lower reflect residual uncertainty in exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 17 °C provide context, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted implied odds firmly below the seasonal mean. Updated official forecasts and morning observations on the 10th will be the key resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Кейптауне 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Кейптауне 10 августа?
15°C 49%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
49%
16°C
28%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C или выше
<1%
15°C 49%
16°C 28%
14°C 16%
17°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
10°C или ниже
$90 Объем
<1%
11°C
$91 Объем
1%
12°C
$74 Объем
1%
13°C
$114 Объем
5%
14°C
$146 Объем
16%
15°C
$189 Объем
49%
16°C
$178 Объем
28%
17°C
$151 Объем
6%
18°C
$126 Объем
3%
19°C
$62 Объем
<1%
20°C или выше
$1,095 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment, expected to deliver cooler air, increased cloud cover, and showers to Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend. South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to daytime maxima near 14–16 °C on the 10th, with limited solar heating and possible late sprinkles suppressing readings above 17 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (48.5 %) and 16 °C (27.5 %), while the modest probabilities for 14 °C and lower reflect residual uncertainty in exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 17 °C provide context, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted implied odds firmly below the seasonal mean. Updated official forecasts and morning observations on the 10th will be the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,316Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment, expected to deliver cooler air, increased cloud cover, and showers to Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend. South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to daytime maxima near 14–16 °C on the 10th, with limited solar heating and possible late sprinkles suppressing readings above 17 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (48.5 %) and 16 °C (27.5 %), while the modest probabilities for 14 °C and lower reflect residual uncertainty in exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 17 °C provide context, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted implied odds firmly below the seasonal mean. Updated official forecasts and morning observations on the 10th will be the key resolution inputs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,316Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is the dominant driver behind current trader sentiment, expected to deliver cooler air, increased cloud cover, and showers to Cape Town over the August 8–10 weekend. South African Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to daytime maxima near 14–16 °C on the 10th, with limited solar heating and possible late sprinkles suppressing readings above 17 °C. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15 °C (48.5 %) and 16 °C (27.5 %), while the modest probabilities for 14 °C and lower reflect residual uncertainty in exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical August averages near 17 °C provide context, but the active synoptic pattern has shifted implied odds firmly below the seasonal mean. Updated official forecasts and morning observations on the 10th will be the key resolution inputs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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