Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 8, aligning with climatological averages for early August and supporting the market's leading probabilities clustered around 32–34°C. Key variables include cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, regional monsoon flow from the southwest, and urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. Higher outcomes above 35°C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while lower readings near 30°C depend on persistent rainfall or stronger northerly flow. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty due to evolving moisture patterns, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies expected to refine short-term projections ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 8 августа?
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C или выше
5%
33°C 32%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
32%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C или выше
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate daytime highs near 32°C on August 8, aligning with climatological averages for early August and supporting the market's leading probabilities clustered around 32–34°C. Key variables include cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, regional monsoon flow from the southwest, and urban heat retention in the Sichuan Basin. Higher outcomes above 35°C would require clearer skies and stronger subsidence, while lower readings near 30°C depend on persistent rainfall or stronger northerly flow. Model consensus shows moderate uncertainty due to evolving moisture patterns, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies expected to refine short-term projections ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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