Short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show closely matched probabilities for Istanbul's August 8 peak temperature near the long-term August average of 28°C, with 28°C and 29°C outcomes separated by just 1 percentage point amid typical late-summer high-pressure dominance and northeasterly flow. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, urban heat-island amplification, and minor model spread on maximum solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 30°C+ if subsidence strengthens, while historical analogs favor 27–29°C ranges this time of year. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official daily briefings expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these near-even odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 8 августа?
28°C 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
12%
28°C
37%
29°C
36%
30°C
16%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
28°C 37%
29°C 36%
30°C 16%
27°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
23°C или ниже
$486 Объем
<1%
24°C
$427 Объем
<1%
25°C
$592 Объем
<1%
26°C
$627 Объем
<1%
27°C
$896 Объем
12%
28°C
$992 Объем
37%
29°C
$920 Объем
36%
30°C
$833 Объем
16%
31°C
$357 Объем
1%
32°C
$347 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$954 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show closely matched probabilities for Istanbul's August 8 peak temperature near the long-term August average of 28°C, with 28°C and 29°C outcomes separated by just 1 percentage point amid typical late-summer high-pressure dominance and northeasterly flow. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, urban heat-island amplification, and minor model spread on maximum solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 30°C+ if subsidence strengthens, while historical analogs favor 27–29°C ranges this time of year. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official daily briefings expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$7,431Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show closely matched probabilities for Istanbul's August 8 peak temperature near the long-term August average of 28°C, with 28°C and 29°C outcomes separated by just 1 percentage point amid typical late-summer high-pressure dominance and northeasterly flow. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, urban heat-island amplification, and minor model spread on maximum solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 30°C+ if subsidence strengthens, while historical analogs favor 27–29°C ranges this time of year. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official daily briefings expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these near-even odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,431Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service show closely matched probabilities for Istanbul's August 8 peak temperature near the long-term August average of 28°C, with 28°C and 29°C outcomes separated by just 1 percentage point amid typical late-summer high-pressure dominance and northeasterly flow. Key differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus and Marmara, urban heat-island amplification, and minor model spread on maximum solar insolation under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 30°C+ if subsidence strengthens, while historical analogs favor 27–29°C ranges this time of year. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official daily briefings expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine these near-even odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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