Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like those feeding into AccuWeather and timeanddate forecasts positions Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50% and 38%. This reflects typical late-summer patterns in the region, where daytime highs often reach 22–23°C climatologically, with subtle ensemble variations in cloud cover and advection determining the precise peak. Traders are weighting these runs against historical August baselines, as model updates in the past 48 hours show limited divergence and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Minor probability on 23°C or 26°C captures remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Москве 8 августа?
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 6%
26°C 4%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
50%
25°C
38%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 6%
26°C 4%
20°C или ниже
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
6%
24°C
50%
25°C
38%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies like those feeding into AccuWeather and timeanddate forecasts positions Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy conditions and light winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 50% and 38%. This reflects typical late-summer patterns in the region, where daytime highs often reach 22–23°C climatologically, with subtle ensemble variations in cloud cover and advection determining the precise peak. Traders are weighting these runs against historical August baselines, as model updates in the past 48 hours show limited divergence and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Minor probability on 23°C or 26°C captures remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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