Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24 °C in Warsaw on August 8, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings show temperatures moderating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, aligning with climatological norms for early August when daily highs average near 23 °C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover support the market’s clustering around these values, though minor shifts in model guidance could adjust the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Варшаве 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Варшаве 8 августа?
23°C 37%
24°C 22%
22°C 21%
21°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
21%
23°C
37%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C или выше
<1%
23°C 37%
24°C 22%
22°C 21%
21°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$390 Объем
4%
21°C
$270 Объем
6%
22°C
$730 Объем
21%
23°C
$537 Объем
37%
24°C
$314 Объем
22%
25°C
$283 Объем
5%
26°C
$165 Объем
3%
27°C
$94 Объем
1%
28°C
$246 Объем
1%
29°C
$163 Объем
<1%
30°C или выше
$537 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24 °C in Warsaw on August 8, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings show temperatures moderating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, aligning with climatological norms for early August when daily highs average near 23 °C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover support the market’s clustering around these values, though minor shifts in model guidance could adjust the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Объем
$3,729Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24 °C in Warsaw on August 8, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings show temperatures moderating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, aligning with climatological norms for early August when daily highs average near 23 °C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover support the market’s clustering around these values, though minor shifts in model guidance could adjust the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,729Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models including ECMWF and GFS indicate a maximum temperature of 22–24 °C in Warsaw on August 8, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge with light northeasterly flow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings show temperatures moderating after warmer conditions earlier in the week, aligning with climatological norms for early August when daily highs average near 23 °C. Low precipitation risk and minimal cloud cover support the market’s clustering around these values, though minor shifts in model guidance could adjust the exact peak before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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