Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 34°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Summer baseline conditions feature average highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, but reduced rainfall and clearer skies in the latest model runs support potential peaks near 35–36°C. The HKO's seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures reflects ongoing climate trends and ENSO influences, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain key variables that could cap readings at 34°C or push them higher. Traders are positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 9 августа?
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
$27,845 Объем
$27,845 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
40%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
36°C 27%
34°C 17%
37°C 15%
$27,845 Объем
$27,845 Объем
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
40%
36°C
27%
37°C
15%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 34°C on August 9, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Summer baseline conditions feature average highs near 31–32°C amid high humidity and frequent showers, but reduced rainfall and clearer skies in the latest model runs support potential peaks near 35–36°C. The HKO's seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal August temperatures reflects ongoing climate trends and ENSO influences, though short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain key variables that could cap readings at 34°C or push them higher. Traders are positioning ahead of the final observational data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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