Wellington’s mid-winter climatology sets a typical daily maximum near 12–14 °C, with trader sentiment heavily favoring 14 °C (51 %) and 15 °C (27.5 %) because recent model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook point to near-average or slightly milder conditions on 9 August. Westerly flow and occasional frontal passages can produce short-term variability of 1–2 °C, yet no strong cold-air outbreak or blocking high is currently indicated. AccuWeather’s extended August forecast shows a broad 11.5–15.8 °C range, keeping the 13 °C outcome (14.5 %) plausible only if a cooler maritime air mass arrives. With resolution less than 24 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied odds closely track the narrow window between climatological norms and the latest model consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 9 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 9 августа?
14°C 52%
15°C 29%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$27,653 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,653 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
17%
14°C
52%
15°C
29%
16°C
3%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 52%
15°C 29%
13°C 17%
16°C 3%
НОВОЕ
$27,653 Объем
НОВОЕ
$27,653 Объем
9 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$328 Объем
<1%
10°C
$988 Объем
<1%
11°C
$1,034 Объем
<1%
12°C
$2,038 Объем
2%
13°C
$6,836 Объем
17%
14°C
$5,402 Объем
52%
15°C
$6,260 Объем
29%
16°C
$2,921 Объем
3%
17°C
$1,279 Объем
<1%
18°C
$205 Объем
<1%
19°C or higher
$361 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s mid-winter climatology sets a typical daily maximum near 12–14 °C, with trader sentiment heavily favoring 14 °C (51 %) and 15 °C (27.5 %) because recent model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook point to near-average or slightly milder conditions on 9 August. Westerly flow and occasional frontal passages can produce short-term variability of 1–2 °C, yet no strong cold-air outbreak or blocking high is currently indicated. AccuWeather’s extended August forecast shows a broad 11.5–15.8 °C range, keeping the 13 °C outcome (14.5 %) plausible only if a cooler maritime air mass arrives. With resolution less than 24 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied odds closely track the narrow window between climatological norms and the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$27,653Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Wellington’s mid-winter climatology sets a typical daily maximum near 12–14 °C, with trader sentiment heavily favoring 14 °C (51 %) and 15 °C (27.5 %) because recent model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook point to near-average or slightly milder conditions on 9 August. Westerly flow and occasional frontal passages can produce short-term variability of 1–2 °C, yet no strong cold-air outbreak or blocking high is currently indicated. AccuWeather’s extended August forecast shows a broad 11.5–15.8 °C range, keeping the 13 °C outcome (14.5 %) plausible only if a cooler maritime air mass arrives. With resolution less than 24 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied odds closely track the narrow window between climatological norms and the latest model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27,653Дата окончания
9 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington’s mid-winter climatology sets a typical daily maximum near 12–14 °C, with trader sentiment heavily favoring 14 °C (51 %) and 15 °C (27.5 %) because recent model guidance and the NIWA seasonal outlook point to near-average or slightly milder conditions on 9 August. Westerly flow and occasional frontal passages can produce short-term variability of 1–2 °C, yet no strong cold-air outbreak or blocking high is currently indicated. AccuWeather’s extended August forecast shows a broad 11.5–15.8 °C range, keeping the 13 °C outcome (14.5 %) plausible only if a cooler maritime air mass arrives. With resolution less than 24 hours away and no major forecast shifts reported, market-implied odds closely track the narrow window between climatological norms and the latest model consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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