Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak around 36°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin that suppresses cloud cover and enhances solar heating. High humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Chengdu can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable afternoon convection, with some runs allowing brief clearing that supports 37°C and others indicating scattered showers capping the maximum near 35°C. Historical August extremes frequently reach the mid-30s, aligning with current trader emphasis on the 36–37°C range. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 10 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 10 августа?
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
38°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
19%
36°C
38%
37°C
28%
38°C
11%
39°C или выше
2%
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 19%
38°C 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 авг. 2026 г.
29°C или ниже
$449 Объем
<1%
30°C
$116 Объем
<1%
31°C
$33 Объем
1%
32°C
$111 Объем
2%
33°C
$317 Объем
3%
34°C
$23 Объем
7%
35°C
$19 Объем
19%
36°C
$131 Объем
38%
37°C
$556 Объем
28%
38°C
$128 Объем
11%
39°C или выше
$134 Объем
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak around 36°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin that suppresses cloud cover and enhances solar heating. High humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Chengdu can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable afternoon convection, with some runs allowing brief clearing that supports 37°C and others indicating scattered showers capping the maximum near 35°C. Historical August extremes frequently reach the mid-30s, aligning with current trader emphasis on the 36–37°C range. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$2,016Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak around 36°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin that suppresses cloud cover and enhances solar heating. High humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Chengdu can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable afternoon convection, with some runs allowing brief clearing that supports 37°C and others indicating scattered showers capping the maximum near 35°C. Historical August extremes frequently reach the mid-30s, aligning with current trader emphasis on the 36–37°C range. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,016Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak around 36°C on August 10, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure over the Sichuan basin that suppresses cloud cover and enhances solar heating. High humidity and light winds limit evaporative cooling, while the urban heat island effect in Chengdu can add 1–2°C locally. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread due to variable afternoon convection, with some runs allowing brief clearing that supports 37°C and others indicating scattered showers capping the maximum near 35°C. Historical August extremes frequently reach the mid-30s, aligning with current trader emphasis on the 36–37°C range. Updated short-range guidance expected within 48 hours could refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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