Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan's July 16 maximum near 33–35°C under a persistent subtropical ridge advecting warm air from North Africa, with ensemble spread reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible late-day convection. Official station measurements (typically Linate) often run 1–2°C below grid-point forecasts during heat episodes, while urban heat-island effects can push localized readings higher. Traders appear to weight the lower end of this range most heavily, consistent with resolution criteria tied to precise observational thresholds rather than broader model guidance. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the short-term resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 16 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Милане 16 июля?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,769 Объем
$79,769 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$79,769 Объем
$79,769 Объем
16 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$845 Объем
No
28°C
$1,695 Объем
No
29°C
$2,157 Объем
No
30°C
$3,987 Объем
No
31°C
$9,452 Объем
No
32°C
$12,745 Объем
No
33°C
$22,042 Объем
Yes
34°C
$17,523 Объем
No
35°C
$6,469 Объем
No
36°C
$2,326 Объем
No
37°C or higher
$526 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan's July 16 maximum near 33–35°C under a persistent subtropical ridge advecting warm air from North Africa, with ensemble spread reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible late-day convection. Official station measurements (typically Linate) often run 1–2°C below grid-point forecasts during heat episodes, while urban heat-island effects can push localized readings higher. Traders appear to weight the lower end of this range most heavily, consistent with resolution criteria tied to precise observational thresholds rather than broader model guidance. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the short-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$79,769Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan's July 16 maximum near 33–35°C under a persistent subtropical ridge advecting warm air from North Africa, with ensemble spread reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible late-day convection. Official station measurements (typically Linate) often run 1–2°C below grid-point forecasts during heat episodes, while urban heat-island effects can push localized readings higher. Traders appear to weight the lower end of this range most heavily, consistent with resolution criteria tied to precise observational thresholds rather than broader model guidance. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the short-term resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$79,769Дата окончания
16 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 14, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs places Milan's July 16 maximum near 33–35°C under a persistent subtropical ridge advecting warm air from North Africa, with ensemble spread reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and possible late-day convection. Official station measurements (typically Linate) often run 1–2°C below grid-point forecasts during heat episodes, while urban heat-island effects can push localized readings higher. Traders appear to weight the lower end of this range most heavily, consistent with resolution criteria tied to precise observational thresholds rather than broader model guidance. Updated runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the short-term resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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