Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on May 9?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 Объем
$98,948 Объем
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$98,948 Объем
$98,948 Объем
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 7, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official observations from Milano Malpensa Airport station—the market's designated resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 24°C, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with forecasts from the Italian Aeronautica Militare and ECMWF models, which predicted daytime highs in the mid-20s under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy, featuring partly cloudy skies, light winds, and moderate humidity that capped warming potential. Typical May climatology for Milan supports such readings, with historical averages around 22–24°C. Realistic challenges would require a data revision uncovering a higher verified peak, such as from recalibrated sensors, though official reports show no such discrepancies; final validation from ARPA Lombardia or Servizio Meteorologico awaits.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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