Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on May 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 4?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 Объем
$82,973 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,973 Объем
$82,973 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
16°C or below
$273 Объем
No
17°C
$337 Объем
No
18°C
$1,032 Объем
No
19°C
$2,402 Объем
No
20°C
$1,625 Объем
No
21°C
$4,697 Объем
No
22°C
$5,783 Объем
No
23°C
$13,107 Объем
No
24°C
$23,816 Объем
Yes
25°C
$14,548 Объем
No
26°C or higher
$15,354 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Объем
$82,973Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$82,973Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:41 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 24°C on May 4, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds for 25°C or higher. Real-time METAR reports captured morning readings of 13°C escalating to 22°C by midday under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, peaking at 24°C before cooling, precisely matching pre-event consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts of 22–25°C highs driven by a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. This warm reading exceeds early May climatological norms of 17–19°C, reflecting ongoing mild spring conditions. Realistic challenges include rare DWD quality-control revisions uncovering sensor discrepancies, though preliminary data from authoritative monitoring carries overwhelming reliability for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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