Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that pushed Paris highs near 40°C, point to moderating conditions with a July 1 maximum most likely in the 26–27°C range. Key differentiators include variable low-level advection of slightly warmer continental air versus increased cloud cover or Atlantic influence that could cap temperatures a degree lower, plus uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual ridging. Météo-France seasonal outlooks favor above-normal July warmth overall, yet short-range guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited potential for outliers above 28°C or below 25°C absent rapid pattern shifts. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical July variability centered near 25°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 1 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 1 июля?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$189,146 Объем
$189,146 Объем
1 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$189,146 Объем
$189,146 Объем
1 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$8,116 Объем
No
23°C
$11,489 Объем
No
24°C
$39,569 Объем
No
25°C
$27,840 Объем
Yes
26°C
$24,054 Объем
No
27°C
$21,517 Объем
No
28°C
$13,032 Объем
No
29°C
$20,514 Объем
No
30°C
$7,666 Объем
No
31°C
$5,324 Объем
No
32°C or higher
$10,025 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that pushed Paris highs near 40°C, point to moderating conditions with a July 1 maximum most likely in the 26–27°C range. Key differentiators include variable low-level advection of slightly warmer continental air versus increased cloud cover or Atlantic influence that could cap temperatures a degree lower, plus uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual ridging. Météo-France seasonal outlooks favor above-normal July warmth overall, yet short-range guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited potential for outliers above 28°C or below 25°C absent rapid pattern shifts. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical July variability centered near 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$189,146Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that pushed Paris highs near 40°C, point to moderating conditions with a July 1 maximum most likely in the 26–27°C range. Key differentiators include variable low-level advection of slightly warmer continental air versus increased cloud cover or Atlantic influence that could cap temperatures a degree lower, plus uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual ridging. Météo-France seasonal outlooks favor above-normal July warmth overall, yet short-range guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited potential for outliers above 28°C or below 25°C absent rapid pattern shifts. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical July variability centered near 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$189,146Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, following the late-June heatwave that pushed Paris highs near 40°C, point to moderating conditions with a July 1 maximum most likely in the 26–27°C range. Key differentiators include variable low-level advection of slightly warmer continental air versus increased cloud cover or Atlantic influence that could cap temperatures a degree lower, plus uncertainties in daytime boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any residual ridging. Météo-France seasonal outlooks favor above-normal July warmth overall, yet short-range guidance shows tight clustering around these values with limited potential for outliers above 28°C or below 25°C absent rapid pattern shifts. Traders weigh these model spreads against historical July variability centered near 25°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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