Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, humid ridge over the Northeast on July 15, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near 98–100 °F in Central Park. The market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in peak boundary-layer temperatures, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical July maxima average 85 °F, so this pattern represents a strong positive anomaly driven by the same mid-level ridge that produced earlier heat-wave conditions. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NBM, which still show a narrow window for either slight under- or over-performance depending on the precise timing of any weak shortwave or wind shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 15 июля?
98-99°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$163,040 Объем
$163,040 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Yes
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F или выше
Нет
98-99°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$163,040 Объем
$163,040 Объем
15 июл. 2026 г.
93°F or below
$37,658 Объем
No
94-95°F
$27,682 Объем
No
96-97°F
$24,522 Объем
No
98-99°F
$21,384 Объем
Yes
100-101°F
$18,687 Объем
No
102-103°F
$16,876 Объем
No
104-105°F
$11,783 Объем
No
106-107°F
$3,556 Объем
No
108-109°F
$377 Объем
No
110-111°F
$265 Объем
No
112°F или выше
$251 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, humid ridge over the Northeast on July 15, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near 98–100 °F in Central Park. The market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in peak boundary-layer temperatures, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical July maxima average 85 °F, so this pattern represents a strong positive anomaly driven by the same mid-level ridge that produced earlier heat-wave conditions. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NBM, which still show a narrow window for either slight under- or over-performance depending on the precise timing of any weak shortwave or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Объем
$163,040Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, humid ridge over the Northeast on July 15, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near 98–100 °F in Central Park. The market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in peak boundary-layer temperatures, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical July maxima average 85 °F, so this pattern represents a strong positive anomaly driven by the same mid-level ridge that produced earlier heat-wave conditions. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NBM, which still show a narrow window for either slight under- or over-performance depending on the precise timing of any weak shortwave or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$163,040Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, humid ridge over the Northeast on July 15, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting afternoon highs near 98–100 °F in Central Park. The market’s tight split between the 98–99 °F and 100–101 °F bins reflects modest run-to-run variability in peak boundary-layer temperatures, dew-point depression, and urban heat-island amplification. Historical July maxima average 85 °F, so this pattern represents a strong positive anomaly driven by the same mid-level ridge that produced earlier heat-wave conditions. Traders are weighting the latest deterministic and probabilistic outputs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NBM, which still show a narrow window for either slight under- or over-performance depending on the precise timing of any weak shortwave or wind shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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